Okutambulizibwa mu Kuzannya · Okulambika omutendera ku mutendera · eddakiika 6

Okutambulizibwa: Enteekateeka ya Zzaala ya Dazeni Bbiri

Ddoola kkumi ku buli emu ku dazeni bbiri, ennamba 24 nga zibikkiddwa, okumala okwetooloola amakumi ataano. Enteekateeka ya zzaala ey'okusiba ku dazeni bbiri mu roulette ye zzaala ebikka ewangula okwetooloola kubiri ku kusatu era ekyafiiriza 2.70%.

Eky'okuddamu mu bufunze

Ekiseera ky'okuzannya ekigezesebwa eky'okwetooloola 50 nga osiba $10 ku dazeni esooka ne ey'okubiri. Okuwangula amakumi asatu mu kumu okwa $10, okufiirwa kkumi na mwenda okwa $20 (dazeni ey'okusatu oba zeero). Ekivuddemu −$70, nga twali waggulu $90. Zzaala ewulikika ng'ey'obukuumi kubanga ewangula emirundi mingi so nga omuwendo gwayo gwe gumu ddala n'ogwa endala zonna.

buli kwetooloola
$20 ku 1–12 ne 13–24
ebibikkiddwa
24 ku 37
obusoboka bw'okuwangula
64.9%
ekisuubirwa buli kwetooloola
−$0.54

Enteekateeka: okusiba ku dazeni bbiri mu roulette

$10 ku dazenizzaalaDazeni1–12, 13–24 oba 25–36, esasula 2:1.Soma byonna → esooka ne $10 ku ey'okubiri. Ennamba okuva ku 1 okutuuka ku 24 esasula dazeni emu $20 n'efiirwa endala $10: +$10. Ennamba okuva ku 25 okutuuka ku 36, oba zeeronnamuzigaZeeroEkinnya kimu ekya kiragala ekitabikkibwa zzaala ya emu ku emu, eya dazeni oba ey'empagi; y'ensibuko y'enkizo ya kaasino. Era eyitibwa: zeero emu, 0.Soma byonna →, efiirwa zombi: −$20. Omuwendo ogusuubirwaokubalaOmuwendo ogusuubirwaEkivaamu eky'omu makkati ku buli zzaala mu bbanga eddene. −1/37 ya ssente za zzaala ku buli zzaala eya bulijjo eya Bulaaya.Soma byonna →: (24 × 10 − 13 × 20)/37 = −20/37 = −$0.54 buli kwetooloola, nga eyo 2.70% ku $20. Obusoboka bw'okuwangula 64.9%, era ogwo gwe muwendo ogutunda zzaala eno.

Okwetooloola 1–25

Okuwangula kkumi na munaana, okufiirwa musanvu: +$180 − $140 = +$40. Okufiirwa musanvu kwalimu zeero omulundi gumu n'ennamba ssatu eza dazeni ey'okusatu ezaddiriŋŋana ku kwetooloola 11–13 ezaafiiriza $60 omulundi gumu ne kiwulikika ng'ekitali kya bulijjo. Yali 35.1% ng'ejjidde mu kibinja, era ebibinja bwe bityo bwe bijja.

okwetooloolamu 1–24mu 25–36 oba 0ekivuddemu ekituufussente ezisigadde
1–1073+$10+$10
11–1303−$60−$50
14–25111+$90+$40
Ennamba ssatu ezaddiriŋŋana okuva mu dazeni etabikkiddwa zifiiriza $60: 35% ng'ejjidde mu kibinja.

Okwetooloola 26–50

Okuwangula kkumi na kusatu, okufiirwa kkumi na kubiri: +$130 − $240 = −$110. Okufiirwa kkumi na kubiri mu kwetooloola 25 kintu kya 20%, si kya bbalirirwe. Ku nkomerero −$70; waggulu ddala +$90 ku kwetooloola 31. Zzaala teyaleeta kukyuka kunene mu ludda lwonna, kubanga okuwangula kuba $10 ate okufiirwa $20; yagenda butereevu ng'esenya mpola.

Ekiseera kino n'ebirala mwenda ebikifaananaekivuddemu ku ntandikwa
+$530$0−$500+$190−$2500125250375500okwetooloolaekivuddemu
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · kakobe p10/p25/p75/p90, bbululu omutangaavu wakati, ebyokulabirako 82 ebizibu okulaba · tambuza ku kipande olabe percentile ku kwetooloola
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • wakati −$280
  • p75 −$40
  • p90 +$170
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · omusittale gwa y gukomezeddwa ku percentile 1–99 (enkomerero −$500 okutuuka +$980) · okwetooloola 500 · omusingi $20 · dazeni bbiri
Dazeni bbiri ku $20 zonna awamu: +$10 okwetooloola kubiri ku kusatu, −$20 okwetooloola kumu ku kusatu. Enjawulo y'ebivaamu ntono; olunyiriri lw'ekigero luserengeta −$0.54 buli kwetooloola, okuserengeta kwe kumu ne $20 ku mmyufu.

Embalirira

Ssente zonna ezisibiddwa $1,000 mu kwetooloola 50. Okufiirwa okusuubirwaokubalaOkufiirwa okusuubirwaOmuwendo ogusuubirwa nga gukubisiddwamu ssente zonna ezisibiddwa; ssente ez'okufiirwa ku kigero mu kiseera ky'okuzannya oba mu kiseera ekimu.Soma byonna → $27; ekyabaddewo −$70, nga ekipimo ky'enjawukanaokubalaEkipimo ky'enjawukanaEkikolo kya kkubo bbiri eky'enjawulo y'ebivaamu; ebbanga ery'abulijjo ekivuddemu we kiba okuva ku muwendo ogusuubirwa.Soma byonna → kimu wansi (σ buli kwetooloola eri nga $14, kale nga $100 mu kwetooloola 50). $20 ze zimu ku emmyufuzzaalaEmmyufuZzaala ya emu ku emu ku nnamba 18 emmyufu. Mu Lufalansa: rouge.Soma byonna → zandibadde n'ekisuubirwa kye kimu ne σ ennene, nga $140 mu kiseera kyonna: dazeni bbiri y'engeri erina enjawulo y'ebivaamuokubalaEnjawulo y'ebivaamuEkipimo ky'engeri ebivaamu gye bisaasaanamu okwetooloola omuwendo ogusuubirwa. Kinene ku straight up, kitono ku zzaala za emu ku emu.Soma byonna → ntono ey'okufiirwa omuwendo gwe gumu.

Ekiseera kino kye kiraga

Okubikka ennamba 24 kufuula roulette okuwulikika ng'omuzannyo gw'otera okuwangula, era owangula ddala: 64.9% ku kwetooloola. EnsasulassenteEnsasulaZzaala ewangudde ky'ekomyawo, ekyogerwa nga “X ku 1” okwongera ku ssente za zzaala ezizzibwayo.Soma byonna → etegekeddwa nti 35.1% gy'ofiirwa ekufiiriza emirundi ebiri ku ekyo okuwangula kye kusasula, era omugerageranyo gutegekebwa emmeeza ya zzaalaebikozesebwaEmmeeza ya zzaalaEkipande kya zzaala ekikubiddwa ku mmeeza. Era kiyitibwa: table, felt, cloth.Soma byonna → okuba −1/37 ku ssente za zzaala zonna. Gattako cipussenteCipuAkabonero akakiikirira omuwendo ogutakyuka, akateekebwa ku mmeeza ya zzaala okusiba zzaala. Era kayitibwa: check.Soma byonna → ku zeero okuba “inshuwalensi” era enkizo ya kaasino ey'awamu ekyali 2.70%, kubanga inshuwalensi nayo eri ku muwendo gwa 2.70%. Olupapula “Ekizibu: Dazeni Bbiri ne Cipu Emu” lukibala mu bujjuvu.

Ebibuuzo

Dazeni bbiri oba empagi bbiri?

Okubala kwe kumu: ennamba 24, +1 yunitissenteYunitiSsente za zzaala ez'entandikwa enkola oba omuzannyi z'akozesa. Okulinnyisa zzaala kunnyonnyolwa mu yuniti kusobole okukola ku mmeeza yonna.Soma byonna → bw'ejja, −2 bw'etajja. EmpagizzaalaEmpagiEnnamba kkumi na bbiri mu mpagi emu eyimiridde ku mmeeza ya zzaala, esasula 2:1.Soma byonna → zisaasaanya ennamba ezibikkiddwa ku nnamuziga yonna; dazeni zizikuŋŋaanya ku mmeeza ya zzaala. Tewali na kimu kirina kye kikyusa.

Ate cipu ku zeero?

Ebikka ennamba 25; zeero kati evaamu +$16 mu kifo kya −$20 ku muwendo gwa $1 buli kwetooloola. Omuwendo ogusuubirwa guli −$0.57 ku $21, era kikyali 2.70%.

64.9% si “emirundi egisinga”?

Bwe kiri, era ensasula etegekeddwa okusinziira ku kyo. Emirundi egisinga owangula $10. Emirundi egimu ofiirwa $20. Ekigero ye enkizo ya kaasinookubalaEnkizo ya kaasinoEkitundu kya buli ssente za zzaala kaasino ky'ekuuma ku kigero: 2.70% mu roulette ya Bulaaya.Soma byonna →.

Eky'okusesa

Wangula okwetooloola kubiri ku kusatu. Fiirwa emirundi ebiri ku kw'okusatu. Ekivaamu 2.70%.

Wangula okwetooloola kubiri ku kusatu. Fiirwa emirundi ebiri ku kw'okusatu. Ekivaamu 2.70%.

Ensibuko

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Essuula 13, roulette.
kyakeberebwa 2026-09-28ekyokulabirako: roulette ya Bulaaya, zeero emuenkola y'okubalirira ↗ensibuko ↗