Enteekateeka za Zzaala mu Roulette · Okulinnyisa oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula · eddakiika 8

Enteekateeka ya Paroli mu Roulette (Martingale ey'Okukyusa)

Enteekateeka ya zzaala eya Paroli mu roulette ekubisaamu ssente za zzaala emirundi ebiri oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula, era eddayo ku ntandikwa oluvannyuma lw'okufiirwa oba oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula emirundi esatu omuddiriŋŋanwa.

Eky'okuddamu mu bufunze

Tewangula nnamuziga; ekyusa bukyusa engeri okufiirwa gye kujjamu. Paroli eteeka mu kabi zzaala emu ey'entandikwa eya ssente zo buli lunyiriri olujjuvu, n'amagoba agasigadde ogaddamu okugasiba. Okufiirwa okusuubirwaokubalaOkufiirwa okusuubirwaOmuwendo ogusuubirwa nga gukubisiddwamu ssente zonna ezisibiddwa; ssente ez'okufiirwa ku kigero mu kiseera ky'okuzannya oba mu kiseera ekimu.Soma byonna → tekukyuka.

ekigendererwa
okuwangula 3 · yuniti 7
p(okuwangula 3)
11.5%
enkizo ya kaasino
2.70%
ekisinga okuba mu kabi
yuniti 1 eya ssente zo

Tambula mu nkola

Okuwangula kukusembeza omutendera gumu. Okufiirwa, oba okuwangula okw'okusatu, kuddayo ku ntandikwa.

124Okuwangula
ssente za zzaala eziddako1ekivuddemu okutuusa kati0okwetooloola0

Ssente za zzaala n'ebivuddemu biri mu yuniti za zzaala ey'omusingi.

Enkola ya Paroli mu roulette ekola etya?

Siba yunitissenteYunitiSsente za zzaala ez'entandikwa enkola oba omuzannyi z'akozesa. Okulinnyisa zzaala kunnyonnyolwa mu yuniti kusobole okukola ku mmeeza yonna.Soma byonna → emu. Bw'owangula, leka byonna ku mmeeza: zzaala eddako ya bbiri. Bw'owangula nate, ya nnya. Bw'owangula omulundi ogw'okusatu, kuŋŋaanya amagoba ga yuniti musanvu oddeyo ku emu. Bw'ofiirwa wonna w'oba otuuse, nayo oddayo ku emu. Eyo y'enkola yonna. Oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula okusooka oba osiba magoba, n'olwekyo ekisinga ssente z'okuzannyisassenteSsente z'okuzannyisaOmugatte gwa ssente ezaawulibwa ku lw'okuzannya. Okuddukanya ssente z'okuzannyisa kwe kusalawo omuwendo gw'oteeka mu kabi ku buli zzaala ne mu buli kiseera ky'okuzannya.Soma byonna → zo kye ziyinza okufiirwa ku lunyiriri olujjuvu lwonna ye yuniti emu. Okuwangula zzaala za emu ku emu emirundi esatu omuddiriŋŋanwa kubaawo n'obusobokaokubalaObusobokaObusoboka bw'ekivaamu, okuva ku 0 okutuuka ku 1 oba 0% okutuuka ku 100%. Ennamba emu: 1/37 = 2.70%.Soma byonna → (18/37)³ = 11.5%, nga olunyiriri lumu ku mwenda.

omutenderassente za zzaala (yuniti)ssente zo eziri mu kabiekivuddemu ekituufu zzaala eno bw'efiirwaekivuddemu ekituufu zzaala eno bw'ewangula
111−1+1, genda ku mutendera 2
221−1+3, genda ku mutendera 3
341−1+7, olunyiriri luwedde
obusoboka bw'okutuukaomutendera 2: 48.6% · omutendera 3: 23.7% · luwedde: 11.5%
Ekibaawo kyonna, olunyiriri olujjuvu lukufiiriza yuniti emu eya ssente zo ku kusingako. Ennyiriri ezisinga zikufiiriza eyo yennyini.

Ekiseera ky'okuzannya kiba kitya?

Okukulukuta mpola n'okubuuka okw'olumu na lumu. Lowooza ku kugula tikiti y'emu entono emirundi mingi: buli emu egula yuniti emu, ezisinga teziriiko kintu, ate nga emu ku mwenda esasula musanvu. Obusoboka bw'okumaliriza ekiseera ky'okuzannya eky'okwetooloola 100 n'amagoba butono (nga 30%) kubanga ebiseera ebisinga tebirimu nnyiriri nzijuvu ezimala okuliyirira okufiirwa okwa yuniti emu okutakoma; ekiseera bwe kimaliriza ng'oli waggulu, kitera okumaliriza ng'oli waggulu nnyo.

Ebiseera by'okuzannya kumi ebya Paroli, $10 ku ntandikwaekivuddemu ku ntandikwa
+$790$0−$500+$340−$2500125250375500okwetooloolaekivuddemu
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · kakobe p10/p25/p75/p90, bbululu omutangaavu wakati, ebyokulabirako 82 ebizibu okulaba · tambuza ku kipande olabe percentile ku kwetooloola
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • wakati −$300
  • p75 +$30
  • p90 +$320
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · omusittale gwa y gukomezeddwa ku percentile 1–99 (enkomerero −$500 okutuuka +$1,150) · okwetooloola 500 · omusingi $10 · emu ku emu
Amadaala agakka, olumu ne galinnya. Tewali kugwa ku lwazi.
Nga tikiti entono egulibwa emirundi mingi: ezisinga teziriiko kintu, ate nga emu ku mwenda esasula musanvu.

Enkola ya Paroli ekola?

Nedda. Ekyusa enkula y'okufiirwa, so si obunene bwakwo. Ka p = 18/37. Owangula 7 n'obusoboka p³ = 0.115; ofiirwa 1 n'obusoboka 1 − p³ = 0.885. Ekivaamu ekisuubirwa buli lunyiriri olujjuvu: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 yuniti. Yuniti ezisuubirwa okusibibwa buli lunyiriri olujjuvu: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. Gabanya: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. Buli nkola ekuwa omuwendo guno bw'okola okugabanya.

Endowooza esikiriza eri nti cipussenteCipuAkabonero akakiikirira omuwendo ogutakyuka, akateekebwa ku mmeeza ya zzaala okusiba zzaala. Era kayitibwa: check.Soma byonna → z'oddamu okusiba ssente za kaasino, n'olwekyo okuzisiba tekulina ky'kufiiriza. Za ggwe okuva lwe zisasulwa, era buli emu gy'oddamu okuteeka ku mmeeza erina 2.70% ze zimu.

Ate bw'olinda okuwangula emirundi ena omuddiriŋŋanwa?

ParolienteekateekaParoliOkulinnyisa oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula: kubisaamu emirundi ebiri ng'owangudde, ddayo ku ntandikwa ng'ofiiriddwa oba ng'owangudde emirundi esatu egiddiriŋŋana. Era eyitibwa: Martingale ey'ekifuulannenge.Soma byonna → okutuuka ku kuwangula emirundi ena efuula yuniti emu 16, amagoba 15, n'obusoboka (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. Taylor (2021) abuuza ekibuuzo ekisingako obwogi: ng'olina ssente z'okuzannyisa za yuniti ntono, obusoboka bwa ki obw'okufuna olunyiriri olwo olw'okuwangula nga ssente tezinnaggwaawo? Buli lunyiriri olujjuvu olulemereddwa lufiiriza yuniti emu yokka, n'olwekyo ng'olina yuniti 15 okuddamu kwe 1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%, okusinga 48.6% ez'okuteeka zonna 15 ku mmyufuzzaalaEmmyufuZzaala ya emu ku emu ku nnamba 18 emmyufu. Mu Lufalansa: rouge.Soma byonna → omulundi gumu. Ekizibu kirabikira mu miwendo emirala. Olunyiriri olw'okuwangula lutera okujja oluvannyuma lw'ennyiriri eziwerako ezilemereddwa, n'olwekyo amagoba bwe gajja gaba yuniti 9 ku kigero, so si 15, era kubanga okulinnyisa zzaalaenteekateekaOkulinnyisa zzaalaEtteeka lyonna erikyusa ssente za zzaala okusinziira ku bivuddemu emabega. Okulinnyisa oluvannyuma lw'okufiirwa kuzirinnyisa ng'ofiiriddwa, okulinnyisa oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula kuzirinnyisa ng'owangudde.Soma byonna → kusiba ssente nnyingi okutwalira awamu, ekivaamu kyakwo ekya wakati kibi okusinga ekya zzaala emu.

ssente z'okuzannyisa, yunitiobusoboka bw'okuwangula emirundi ena omuddiriŋŋanwa nga ssente tezinnaggwaawoekivuddemu ekituufu ekya wakati bwe kijjaekivaamu ekya wakati
315.9%+14.0−0.29
836.9%+11.8−0.68
1557.9%+9.1−1.07
3082.3%+4.6−1.52
Emmyufu ku nnamuziga ow'enzeero emu, entandikwa ya yuniti emu, okukoma ku lunyiriri olusooka olw'okuwangula emirundi ena oba ssente z'okuzannyisa bwe ziggwaawo. Okugeraageranya, zzaala emu eya yuniti 15 ku mmyufu ewangula 15 n'obusoboka 48.6%, era ekivaamu kyayo ekya wakati kiba −0.41 yuniti.

Kikulu w'okoma?

Ku nkula yokka. Paroli okutuuka ku kuwangula emirundi ebiri (kuŋŋaanya 3) oba ena (kuŋŋaanya 15) ekyusa emirundi gy'owangula n'ekirabo, so si enkizo ya kaasino. “Parlay” ku zzaala ya straight up (ennamba emu yokka) (leka okuwangula kwa 35 ku 1 kusigale ku mmeeza) y'endowooza y'emu nga p = 1/37 n'ensasulassenteEnsasulaZzaala ewangudde ky'ekomyawo, ekyogerwa nga “X ku 1” okwongera ku ssente za zzaala ezizzibwayo.Soma byonna → ya 1,295 ku 1 ku kuwangula emirundi ebiri omuddiriŋŋanwa, era eno ye nsonga lwaki okusinga kuba lugero so si kye bakola.

Ani agironda, era lwaki?

Abazannyi abaagala okufiirwa okusingako okutono era okumanyiddwa buli lunyiriri olujjuvu, era abasanyufu okufiirwa mpola olw'obusoboka bw'okuwangula ennyo. Ye kifaananyi ekikyuse eky'endowooza ya MartingaleenteekateekaMartingaleOkulinnyisa zzaala okukubisaamu zzaala bbiri oluvannyuma lwa buli kufiirwa. Laba ekitundu ky'Enteekateeka za Zzaala okumanya ky'ekola ne ky'etakola.Soma byonna →: Martingale ekuleetera okuwulira ng'omuwanguzi okutuusa ekiro lw'otoba; Paroli ekuleetera okuwulira ng'omufiirwa okutuusa ekiro lw'otoba. Kaasino etwala 2.70% ku mugatte gwa zzaalassenteOmugatte gwa zzaalaOmugatte gwa ssente zonna ezisibiddwa mu kiseera ky'okuzannya oba mu bbanga, nga mw'otwalidde n'amagoba agaddamu okusibwa. Era guyitibwa: handle, action.Soma byonna → mu ngeri zombi.

Ekyokugezesa · Paroli

Ebiseera by'okuzannya 2,000 ebya zzaala ya emu ku emu, nga otandika ne ssente z'okuzannyisa $1,000.

Zzaala ey'omusingi $10 · ekkomo ly'emmeeza $500 · okwetooloola 100 mu buli kiseera

Engabanya y'ebivuddemu by'ebiseera by'okuzannyaokufiirwa ← | → amagoba
−$620$0+$770
teeka akasonga ku mulongooti · emimyufu ge biseera ebifiiriddwa, egya kiragala ebiwangudde, omweru gubuna ku $0
ebiseera ebiri mu magoba
36.8%
ekivuddemu ekya wakati
−$60
ekivuddemu eky'ekigero
−$54.99
ebyamalibwako
0.0%
percentile ya 5
−$370
okukka okusinga obunene okwa wakati
−$230

Ebibuuzo

Paroli, enteekateeka ya zzaala ekyusiddwa eya Martingale mu roulette, terimu kabi kanene okusinga Martingale?

Terimu kabi kanene mu ngeri nti tesobola kuleeta kufiirwa kumu okw'akabenje. Tekendeeza nsaasaanya: okufiirwa okusuubirwa ku buli yuniti esibiddwa kwe kumu.

Nkome ku kuwangula emirundi esatu?

Buli kifo eky'okukoma kikola kimu mu kubala. Esatu ze zimanyiddwa kubanga ekirabo (yuniti 7) kiwulirwa nti kisaanira okulinda era emirundi gy'owangula (11.5%) tegiri mu kuggwaamu ssuubi.

Eky'okusesa

Okuddamu okusiba amagoba nakwo kusiba zzaala.

Okuddamu okusiba amagoba nakwo kusiba zzaala.

Ensibuko

  1. RouletteDoc. Okulambika enteekateeka za zzaala mu roulette. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Ennyinnyonnyola y'enteekateeka ya zzaala n'ebyokulabirako. https://roulette77.us/strategies/reverse-martingale
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Essuula 13, roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
  5. Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed. CRC Press, 2021.
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