Okutambulizibwa mu Kuzannya · Okulambika omutendera ku mutendera · eddakiika 7

Okutambulizibwa: Okulinnya ne Fibonacci

Ssente za zzaala 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 ku enzirugavuzzaalaEnzirugavuZzaala ya emu ku emu ku nnamba 18 enzirugavu. Mu Lufalansa: noir.Soma byonna →, ng'odda emabega emitendera ebiri oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula. Martingale empola, n'engeri akagwo kaayo gye kajjamu.

Eky'okuddamu mu bufunze

Ekiseera ky'okuzannya ekigezesebwa eky'okwetooloola 90 mu nkola ya Fibonacci ku $5 buli yuniti. Ennyiriri enjjuvu abiri zaggwa nga buli emu evaamu $5, n'ekiseera ekibi kimu ekyatuuka ku mutendera ogw'omwenda (zzaala ya $170) ne kireka ekiseera kyonna wansi $340. Ekkakkamu okusinga okukubisaamu emirundi ebiri okutuusa lw'etaba ekkakkamu.

yuniti
$5 ku nzirugavu
olunyiriri
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34
akagwo
zzaala ya $170 ku mutendera ogw'omwenda
ekivuddemu
−$340 mu kwetooloola 90

Tambula mu lunyiriri

Okufiirwa kukusembeza omutendera gumu ku ddyo. Okuwangula kukuzza emabega emitendera ebiri.

11235813213455Okufiirwa
ssente za zzaala eziddako1ekivuddemu okutuusa kati0okwetooloola0

Ssente za zzaala n'ebivuddemu biri mu yuniti za zzaala ey'omusingi.

Enteekateeka

Siba ennamba esooka mu FibonaccienteekateekaFibonacciOkulinnyisa zzaala okugoberera olunyiriri 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: eddaala limu mu maaso oluvannyuma lw'okufiirwa, amadaala abiri emabega oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula.Soma byonna →, $5. Oluvannyuma lw'okufiirwa, genda omutendera gumu ku ddyo mu lunyiriri. Oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula, dda emitendera ebiri ku kkono. Olunyiriri olujjuvu luggwa bwe tuddayo ku ntandikwa nga tuli waggulu yunitissenteYunitiSsente za zzaala ez'entandikwa enkola oba omuzannyi z'akozesa. Okulinnyisa zzaala kunnyonnyolwa mu yuniti kusobole okukola ku mmeeza yonna.Soma byonna → emu. Bw'ogeraageranya ne MartingaleenteekateekaMartingaleOkulinnyisa zzaala okukubisaamu zzaala bbiri oluvannyuma lwa buli kufiirwa. Laba ekitundu ky'Enteekateeka za Zzaala okumanya ky'ekola ne ky'etakola.Soma byonna →, ssente za zzaala zeeyongera ×1.6 mu kifo kya ×2, kale akagwo kali wala era okuddayo kugenda mpola: okuwangula tekukomya lunyiriri, kukuzzaayo buzzi emabega.

Okwetooloola 1–40

Ennyiriri enjjuvu kkumi na emu zaggwa, esinga obuwanvu yatuuka ku mutendera ogw'okutaano ($25). Buli lunyiriri oluggwa luvaamu $5 ddala; okubala kunyuma era ssente za zzaala zaasigala ntono. Ekivuddemu +$55. Kiwulikika nga Martingale eggiddwaamu okutya.

olunyiriri olujjuvuolunyiririssente za zzaalaekivuddemu ekituufu
1W5+$5
2F W W5, 5, 5 → luggwa+$5
3F F W F W W5, 5, 10, 5, 5, 5+$5
4F F F W W W5, 5, 10, 15, 5, 5+$5
5–11okutuuka ku mutendera 5 ($25)≤ 25+$35
oluvannyuma lw'okwetooloola 40ennyiriri enjjuvu 11 zaggwa+$55

Okwetooloola 41–70

Ennyiriri endala ttaano ziggwa okutuuka ku kwetooloola 60 (+$25). Olwo ne wajja olunyiriri olutaggwa. F F F F F F F W F F: ssente za zzaala 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (okufiirwa musanvu, −$165), okuwangula ku $105 (+$105, okudda emabega emitendera ebiri ku $40), olwo okufiirwa kubiri ku $40 ne $65. Kati tuli ku mutendera ogw'omunaana, $105, nga tuli ku −$165 mu lunyiriri luno, era okufiirwa okuddako kwandituzzizza ku $170 nga ekkomo ly'emmeezaemmeezaEkkomo ly'emmeezaZzaala esinga obutono n'esinga obunene ekkirizibwa. Ekkomo ery'waggulu lye liyimiriza enkola ez'okukubisaamu bbiri.Soma byonna → lya $200. Ekivuddemu mu kitundu kino −$140.

Ekiseera kino n'ebirala mwenda ebikifaananaekivuddemu ku ntandikwa
+$595$0−$500+$480−$2500125250375500okwetooloolaekivuddemu
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · kakobe p10/p25/p75/p90, bbululu omutangaavu wakati, ebyokulabirako 83 ebizibu okulaba · tambuza ku kipande olabe percentile ku kwetooloola
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • wakati −$500
  • p75 +$390
  • p90 +$480
ebiseera 1,000 × okwetooloola 500 · omusittale gwa y gukomezeddwa ku percentile 1–99 (enkomerero −$500 okutuuka +$700) · okwetooloola 500 · omusingi $5 · emu ku emu
Okulinnya mpola okusinga Martingale, akagwo kali waggulu era kajja luvannyuma. Ennyiriri ezigwa, zigwa wala, era zigwa mu kwetooloola okungi so si kumu.

Ekkomo ly'Emmeeza ya Roulette

Okwetooloola 71–90

F F: $105 olwo $170 ne zifiirwa, era olunyiriri luli ku −$440. Zzaala eddako yandibadde $275, esukka ekkomo, kale ku kwetooloola 72 tuleka olunyiriri ne tuddamu okutandika ku $5. Ako ke kagwo. Okwetooloola kkumi na munaana okusigadde kumaliriza ennyiriri endala nnya. Ku nkomerero −$340; ssente z'okuzannyisassenteSsente z'okuzannyisaOmugatte gwa ssente ezaawulibwa ku lw'okuzannya. Okuddukanya ssente z'okuzannyisa kwe kusalawo omuwendo gw'oteeka mu kabi ku buli zzaala ne mu buli kiseera ky'okuzannya.Soma byonna → zaakka wansi ddala ku −$360.

Ssente za zzaala zeeyongera nga emirundi 1.6 oluvannyuma lwa buli kufiirwa; ku mutendera ogw'omunaana, eddako tekyasobola kuyingira wansi wa kkomo.

Embalirira

Ssente zonna ezisibiddwa zaali nga $1,200, nga zzaala ey'omuwendo gumu yandibadde $450. Okufiirwa okusuubirwaokubalaOkufiirwa okusuubirwaOmuwendo ogusuubirwa nga gukubisiddwamu ssente zonna ezisibiddwa; ssente ez'okufiirwa ku kigero mu kiseera ky'okuzannya oba mu kiseera ekimu.Soma byonna → ku $1,200 kwe $32; ekyabaddewo −$340 kiri nga ekipimo ky'enjawukanaokubalaEkipimo ky'enjawukanaEkikolo kya kkubo bbiri eky'enjawulo y'ebivaamu; ebbanga ery'abulijjo ekivuddemu we kiba okuva ku muwendo ogusuubirwa.Soma byonna → kimu n'ekitundu wansi, ekiseera ekibi, era ekiseera ekyo Fibonacci ky'ereeta kumpi omulundi gumu ku etaano ku buwanvu buno. Ennyiriri ezaggwa zaasasula $5 buli emu; olunyiriri olubi lwafiiriza ezenkana kinaana mu munaana ku zo.

Ekiseera kino kye kiraga

Fibonacci esaasaanya akagwo ka Martingale ku kwetooloola okungi era n'akasindika wala, ekigifuula ey'obukuumi okusingawo era ey'obulimba okusingawo: ssente za zzaala ziraga nga za nsonga okutuusa ku eyo etali ya nsonga. Okufiirwa okusuubirwa ku buli ddoola tekukyuka; omugatte gwa zzaalassenteOmugatte gwa zzaalaOmugatte gwa ssente zonna ezisibiddwa mu kiseera ky'okuzannya oba mu bbanga, nga mw'otwalidde n'amagoba agaddamu okusibwa. Era guyitibwa: handle, action.Soma byonna → ogw'okwongerako olw'okulinnya gwe gutwala ssente.

Ebibuuzo

Lwaki odda emabega emitendera ebiri oluvannyuma lw'okuwangula?

Kubanga okuwangula ku mutendera n kuzzaawo okufiirwa ku mitendera n−1 ne n−2, egigattibwa ne gwenkana nagwo. Olunyiriri lwazimbibwa ku lw'etteeka eryo.

Kino kya bukuumi okusinga Martingale?

Zzaala esinga obunene eba wansi ku muwendo gw'okufiirwa gwe gumu, kale yee, mu ngeri nti akagwo kajja luvannyuma. Okusuubirwa kwe kumu ddala.

Mutendera ki ogusooka okumenya ekkomo lya $500?

Ogw'ekkumi n'ebiri ku yuniti ya $5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, olwo 720.

Eky'okusesa

Omugerageranyo ogwa zaabu guli 1.618. Enkizo ya kaasino ekyali 2.70%.

Omugerageranyo ogwa zaabu guli 1.618. Enkizo ya kaasino ekyali 2.70%.

Ensibuko

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Essuula 13, roulette.
kyakeberebwa 2026-09-28ekyokulabirako: roulette ya Bulaaya, zeero emuenkola y'okubalirira ↗ensibuko ↗