Ebirala · Okusomesa · eddakiika 7

Roulette n'Okusomesa Okubala

Nnamuziga wa roulette afuula obusoboka okwangu okulaba mu birowoozo. Wano waliwo engeri y'okumukozesa mu ssomo nga tozzaamu baana muzizo kusiba zzaala.

Eky'okuddamu mu bufunze

Ebivaamu asatu mu musanvu ebirina obusoboka bwe bumu, ensasula enkalakkalira, obutakwatagana, omuwendo ogusuubirwa ogw'okufiirwa ogumanyiddwa, n'ebyafaayo ebiwanvu eby'abantu abakisobya. Roulette eraga omuwendo ogusuubirwa, enjawulo y'ebivaamuokubalaEnjawulo y'ebivaamuEkipimo ky'engeri ebivaamu gye bisaasaanamu okwetooloola omuwendo ogusuubirwa. Kinene ku straight up, kitono ku zzaala za emu ku emu.Soma byonna →, etteeka ly'emiwendo emineneokubalaEtteeka ly'emiwendo emineneEkigero ky'ebivaamu ebyetongodde kisemberera omuwendo ogusuubirwa ng'omuwendo gw'okugezaako gweyongera.Soma byonna →, ensobi y'abasiba zzaala, okugezesa endowooza n'ekizibu ky'amazaalibwa obulungi okusinga ssente ez'ekyuma oba ddayisi.

ebivaamu byonna ebisoboka

37, byenkanankana

endowooza ezikwatiddwako

≥ 8

ebikozesebwa ku mukutu guno

bya bwereere, mu browser

essomo erisooka ddala

EV = −1/37, bulijjo

Lwaki roulette

Ssente ey'ekyuma erina ebivaamu bibiri ate ddayisi mukaaga; byombi bitono nnyo okulaga ekizibu ky'amazaalibwaokubalaEkizibu ky'amazaalibwaAbantu bameka abeetaagisa babiri ku bo okuba nga bayinza okugabana olunaku lw'amazaalibwa, oba okwetooloola kumeka ennamba nga eyinza okuddamu. Ku nnamuziga ow'ebinnya 37, okwetooloola 8 kumala okuwa obusoboka obusinga ekitundu.Soma byonna → oba okugezesa kwa chi-squarelaabuEkigezo kya chi-squareEkigezo ky'okubala ekigeraageranya emirundi buli kinnya gye kyajja n'egyo egisuubirwa n/37. Kikozesebwa okusalawo oba nnamuziga asosola.Soma byonna → mu ngeri esikiriza. Kaadi zirina okujjukira. Roulette erina ebivaamu 37 ebirina obusoboka bwe bumu, ensasulassenteEnsasulaZzaala ewangudde ky'ekomyawo, ekyogerwa nga “X ku 1” okwongera ku ssente za zzaala ezizzibwayo.Soma byonna → enkalakkalira ezifuula omuwendo ogusuubirwa okubalibwa mu lunyiriri lumu, obutakwatagana obuzimbiddwa mu kyuma kyennyini, n'enkizo ya kaasino entono ekimala okwekweka mu kiseera ky'okuzannya era ennene ekimala okufuga omwaka. Erina n'ensobi ez'ebyasa bibiri eziwandiikiddwa ez'okwekenneenya.

Ssente ey'ekyuma, ddayisi ne kaadi biwa roulette ekifo n'ebivaamu byayo 37 ebirina obusoboka bwe bumu.

Ekigezo kya Chi-Square

Omutendera gw'amasomo

essomoendowoozaekyokulabirako mu rouletteekikozesebwa ku mukutu guno

1obusoboka ng'okubalap(zzaala) = n/37Ekibalirizi ky'Emikisa mu Roulette

2omuwendo ogusuubirwaEV = (n/37)(36/n − 1) − (37 − n)/37 = −1/37Ekizimba Zzaala

3obutakwatagana n'etteeka ly'okukubisaamu(18/37)² ku mmyufu bbiriObusoboka bw'Emitendera gy'Ebivuddemu mu Roulette

4ekijjuliza ne “waakiri omulundi gumu”1 − (36/37)³⁷ = 63.7%Obusoboka mu Roulette

5enjawulo y'ebivaamu n'ekipimo ky'enjawukanaσ = 5.84 (straight up) ku 1.00 (emmyufu), EV y'emuEnjawulo y'ebivaamu

6etteeka ly'emiwendo eminene (n'ekyo kye litagamba)ekigero kisembera; omugatte gwawukanaOkusembera mu Bbanga Eddene: Etteeka ly'Emiwendo Eminene mu Roulette

7ensobi y'abasiba zzaalaenzirugavu 26, 1913Ensobi y'abasiba zzaala

8okutambula okutategeerekeka n'okumalwako ssenteensengekera y'okumalwako ssente kw'omusiba zzaalaEkibalirizi ky'Akabi k'Okumalwako Ssente

9okugezesa endowoozachi-square ku binnya 37Ekyekenneenya Okusosola kwa Nnamuziga

10ekizibu ky'amazaalibwaokuddamu okujja mu kwetooloola 8, 56%Ekizibu: Nnamuziga w'Amazaalibwa

11okugezesa kwa Monte Carloebiseera by'okuzannya 10,000 mu sikonda emuEkyokugezesa Enteekateeka ya Zzaala

12lwaki enkola zigwaokugattika kw'omuwendo ogusuubirwaOsobola Okuwangula Roulette?

Okusomesa nga tosomesa kusiba zzaala

Kozesa ssente ez'okuzannyisa obuzannyisa ne Omuzannyo gw'Okwegezaamu, ogutaliimu ssente za ddala. Tandika n'omuwendo ogusuubirwaokubalaOmuwendo ogusuubirwaEkivaamu eky'omu makkati ku buli zzaala mu bbanga eddene. −1/37 ya ssente za zzaala ku buli zzaala eya bulijjo eya Bulaaya.Soma byonna → era ogende ng'oguddako: buli kyokukola kiggwa ne “era omuwendo ogusuubirwa guli −1/37 ku ssente za zzaala”. Kozesa enkola ng'ebyokulabirako ebiwakanya so si ng'engeri z'okukola: ekyokukola kwe kuzuula ensobi, era ekyokugezesa kiraga ensobi mu sikonda ntono. Yingizaamu ebyafaayo by'abantu abaafiirwa. Essomo liri nti okubala kwe kuwangula, ekiri ekikontana n'okulanga.

Ebyokukola ebikola

Basabe abayizi okuteebereza okwetooloola kumeka okuddamu okujja nga tekunnabaawo, olwo bazannye Omuzannyo gw'Okwegezaamu emirundi kkumi (ekizibu ky'amazaalibwa). Basabe bawandiike “enkola” mu kyuma ekiwandiika enteekateeka badduse ebiseera by'okuzannya 10,000 (okugattika kw'omuwendo ogusuubirwa). Basabe babale obusobokaokubalaObusobokaObusoboka bw'ekivaamu, okuva ku 0 okutuuka ku 1 oba 0% okutuuka ku 100%. Ennamba emu: 1/37 = 2.70%.Soma byonna → bw'omutendera gwa 1913, olwo obw'omutendera ogwo okubaawo awantu wonna mu myaka amakumi ataano egya Monte Carlo (enjawulo wakati w'ekintu ekigere n'ekintu kyonna). Basabe bazuule ekinnyaebikozesebwaEkinnyaKimu ku bisenge 37 ebiriko ennamba ku rotor. Era biyitibwa: slot, cup.Soma byonna → “ekisosolwa” mu byafaayo by'okwetooloola okwesimbu, olwo batabule ebiwandiiko (okugeraageranya okungi).

Endowooza y'abayizi bw'esobya amangu (okuteebereza okwa bulijjo mu kibiina ku mazima)

okwetooloola okutuusa okuddamu: okuteebereza ≈ 19, amazima 8

8 ku 19

p(≥1 okujja mu kwetooloola 37): okuteebereza 100%, amazima 63.7%

63.7% ku 100%

p(emmyufu oluvannyuma lw'emmyufu 10): okuteebereza “butono”, amazima 48.65%

48.65%

ebiseera by'okuzannya eby'amagoba, Martingale: okuteebereza ≈ 95%, amazima ≈ 78%

78% ku 95%

ekivaamu eky'ekigero, Martingale: okuteebereza “kya magoba”, amazima kya kufiirwa

kya kufiirwa

050100

Buli njawulo ssomo. Esembayo lye ssomo lyonna.

Okusoma Ebyafaayo by'Okwetooloola Ebyafulumizibwa Obukulu mu Kubala kw'Ebibalo

Lwaki kisigala mu mutwe

Abayizi bajjukira enzirugavuzzaalaEnzirugavuZzaala ya emu ku emu ku nnamba 18 enzirugavu. Mu Lufalansa: noir.Soma byonna → 26, nnamuziga wa Jagger, n'akaseera ekyokugezesa lwe kyalaga enkola yaabwe ng'efiirwa. Obusoboka obw'endowooza bwerabirwa nga bukyali okutuuka ku kigezo; nnamuziga tebamwerabira. Ensalo ey'empisa nnyonnyofu: somesa okubala okufuula omuzannyo zzaala embi, ng'okozesa omuzannyo gwennyini, era abayizi abaliba basiba zzaala oluvannyuma waakiri bajja kumanya bbeeyi.

Abazannyi ba Roulette Abaatiikirivu

Ebibuuzo

Kisaanira abayizi b'emyaka gy'essomero?

Ne ssente ez'okuzannyisa obuzannyisa n'okunnyonnyola okw'olwatu nti enkizo ya kaasinookubalaEnkizo ya kaasinoEkitundu kya buli ssente za zzaala kaasino ky'ekuuma ku kigero: 2.70% mu roulette ya Bulaaya.Soma byonna → lye ssomo, enteekateeka z'okusomesa nnyingi zikozesa dda ddayisi ne lotale; roulette nkyusa ya kintu kye kimu ejjudde okusingawo.

Musomesa atandike na lupapula ki?

Enkizo ya Kaasino mu Roulette, olwo Omuzannyo gw'Okwegezaamu, olwo Ekyokugezesa Enteekateeka ya Zzaala.

Omuzannyo gw'Okwegezaamu mulungi mu kibiina?

Teguliimu ssente za ddala, akawunti wadde enkolagana ku bakola kaasino.

Eky'okusesa

Ebivaamu asatu mu musanvu, enkizo emu, ensobi z'ebyasa bibiri ez'okuyigirako.

Ensibuko

Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, 3rd ed., 1968. Gambler’s ruin, essuula XIV.
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Essuula 13, roulette.

kyakeberebwa 2026-09-28ekyokulabirako: roulette ya Bulaaya, zeero emuenkola y'okubalirira ↗ensibuko ↗